Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UTU -140 DEN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | DEN -2.8 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -1.6 (+15.6) | 145.6 (-23.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -1.3 (+15.3) | 144.8 (-22.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -2.3 (+16.3) | 142.5 (-20.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -2.2 (+16.2) | 144.2 (-22.2) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | UTU 82 – 62 DEN |
| Dec 12, 2020 | UTU 73 – 70 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 5-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 0-16 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#328) | -6.9 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#333) | -0.83 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.36 (#325) | -1.24 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#304) | 0.432 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.6% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.6% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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