Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -140 WYO +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +1 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | TULN -6.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -3.6 (-4.6) | 141.6 (-14.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -4.0 (-5.0) | 144.1 (-17.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -5.0 (-6.0) | 144.5 (-17.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -4.0 (-5.0) | 144.7 (-17.7) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#156) | -6.3 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#270) | -0.02 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#280) | -0.54 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#289) | 0.500 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 40.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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