Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN -1500 WAG +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +25 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -10.1 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -9.1 (+15.9) | 123.9 (-16.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -9.0 (+16.0) | 126.5 (-19.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -9.0 (+16.0) | 129.8 (-22.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -10.5 (+14.5) | 122.2 (-15.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | GTWN 92 – 75 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-10 |
| Home | 14-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | -6.3 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#142) | 0.18 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#135) | 0.17 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#139) | 0.525 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 32.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 36.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 11.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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