Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BC +380 BOIS -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -12.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -6.9 (+8.9) | 144.6 (-20.6) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -7.7 (+9.7) | 143.0 (-19.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -6.9 (+8.9) | 145.1 (-21.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -6.3 (+8.3) | 146.3 (-22.3) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#159) | 12.2 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#125) | 2.39 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#145) | 3.69 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#79) | 0.641 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 35.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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