Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -550 CLT +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +23 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -8.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -6.2 (+16.8) | 143.5 (-12.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -8.7 (+14.3) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -7.0 (+16.0) | 142.4 (-11.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.9 (+16.1) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2025 | MEM 77 – 68 CLT |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MEM 76 – 52 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#98) | 0.3 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#118) | 0.09 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#104) | -0.03 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#150) | 0.512 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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