Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -350 LBSU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +26 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -3.9 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -4.3 (+21.7) | 134.0 (-20.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -3.7 (+22.3) | 132.6 (-18.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -4.5 (+21.5) | 134.1 (-20.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -4.7 (+21.3) | 135.4 (-21.4) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#263) | -9.1 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#233) | -4.38 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#291) | -6.39 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#190) | 0.381 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 23.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 18.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.9% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 48.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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