Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | KSU +114 CIN -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +29 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -0.2 (-28.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -1.3 (-27.7) | 146.1 (+6.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -1.0 (-30.0) | 147.0 (+6.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -0.6 (-29.6) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -0.2 (-28.8) | 141.8 (+11.2) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2025 | KSU 54 – 49 CIN |
| Dec 31, 2024 | KSU 70 – 67 CIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CIN 74 – 72 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#87) | 10.2 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#87) | 1.26 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#89) | 2.06 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#135) | 0.527 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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