Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SEA +100 FUR -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +5 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -0.7 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -2.5 (-2.5) | 138.8 (-21.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -0.7 (-4.3) | 134.9 (-17.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -2.1 (-2.9) | 137.1 (-20.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -2.8 (-2.2) | 139.4 (-22.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#81) | 7.3 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#154) | 3.50 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#89) | 4.59 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#247) | 0.658 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.3% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 79.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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