Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -1000 COLO +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +28 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -4.9 (+23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -2.3 (+25.7) | 142.7 (+27.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -2.8 (+25.2) | 143.4 (+26.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -2.2 (+25.8) | 141.6 (+28.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -1.4 (+26.6) | 143.2 (+26.8) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | ISU 97 – 67 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2025 | ISU 79 – 65 COLO |
| Dec 31, 2024 | ISU 79 – 69 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#31) | 7.4 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#160) | 1.60 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#139) | 2.38 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#217) | 0.583 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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