Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -205 ECU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +10 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -5.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -4.6 (-14.6) | 146.5 (+13.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -4.8 (-14.8) | 145.5 (+14.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -4.6 (-14.6) | 142.2 (+17.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -4.6 (-14.6) | 143.7 (+16.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | RICE 83 – 77 ECU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RICE 73 – 60 ECU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RICE 70 – 52 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 7-10 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#234) | -7.1 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#225) | -1.26 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#238) | -1.89 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#256) | 0.453 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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