Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UCF -162 WVU +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UCF -4.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -5.6 (-12.6) | 138.0 (+3.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -4.4 (-11.4) | 137.0 (+4.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -4.7 (-11.7) | 138.1 (+2.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -4.7 (-11.7) | 138.0 (+3.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WVU 77 – 62 UCF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WVU 72 – 65 UCF |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WVU 77 – 67 UCF |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UCF 72 – 59 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#52) | 9.7 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#27) | 1.73 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#29) | 2.37 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#24) | 0.537 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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