Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DETM +900 URI -1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -20.3 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -13.3 (+7.3) | 141.2 (+14.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -15.0 (+9.0) | 146.4 (+9.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -15.4 (+9.4) | 146.8 (+9.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -14.3 (+8.3) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#310) | 12.1 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#262) | 1.87 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#295) | 2.84 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#240) | 0.646 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 54.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 59.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 41.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 39.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.