Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -380 NJIT +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -7.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -4.7 (-13.7) | 130.0 (+17.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -6.9 (-15.9) | 128.7 (+18.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -5.1 (-14.1) | 128.2 (+18.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -6.0 (-15.0) | 129.0 (+18.0) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 3-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 6-10 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#318) | -15.9 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#132) | -4.43 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#123) | -6.52 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#119) | 0.273 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 21.5% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.4% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.0% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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