Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | OU +140 AUB -166 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +12 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -2.3 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -2.6 (+14.6) | 160.1 (+9.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -0.7 (+12.7) | 159.9 (+10.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -1.4 (+13.4) | 158.1 (+11.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -0.5 (+12.5) | 159.9 (+10.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | AUB 98 – 70 OU |
| Jan 29, 2022 | AUB 86 – 68 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#57) | 15.0 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#79) | 2.30 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#66) | 3.27 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#177) | 0.598 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.