Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -355 UNLV +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -9.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -8.7 (+4.3) | 151.0 (-4.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -8.5 (+4.5) | 152.1 (-5.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -8.6 (+4.4) | 149.9 (-2.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -8.6 (+4.4) | 150.6 (-3.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNLV 80 – 78 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#73) | 2.5 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#78) | 0.49 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#73) | 0.55 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#100) | 0.525 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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