Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ORST -265 USD +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +10 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -6.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -7.7 (+2.3) | 144.7 (+29.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -6.3 (+3.7) | 144.6 (+29.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -6.4 (+3.6) | 145.0 (+29.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -6.2 (+3.8) | 146.0 (+28.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ORST 78 – 76 USD |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ORST 83 – 73 USD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ORST 81 – 54 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#181) | -4.2 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#147) | -0.83 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#146) | -0.89 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#169) | 0.440 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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