Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NU -166 ORE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | NU -6.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -5.0 (-4.0) | 143.2 (-18.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -5.0 (-4.0) | 141.9 (-16.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -5.8 (-4.8) | 139.9 (-14.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -5.4 (-4.4) | 141.9 (-16.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2025 | ORE 81 – 75 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#63) | 6.1 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#91) | 0.80 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#90) | 1.00 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#136) | 0.513 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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