Betting Lines
| Spread | WGA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WGA -225 UNA +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WGA +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | WGA -6.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -4.8 (+7.2) | 146.4 (-8.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WGA -3.6 (+8.4) | 147.1 (-9.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -4.7 (+7.3) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -5.1 (+6.9) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | WGA 82 – 73 UNA |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNA 80 – 62 WGA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNA 78 – 61 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#304) | -13.1 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#277) | -1.88 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#288) | -2.56 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#270) | 0.417 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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