Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE +260 FLA -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +17 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -16.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -10.7 (-6.3) | 140.3 (-7.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -11.1 (-5.9) | 144.0 (-11.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -11.5 (-5.5) | 144.6 (-11.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -11.5 (-5.5) | 140.7 (-7.7) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2023 | WAKE 82 – 71 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 36-4 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 14-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W12 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 84.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#192) | 14.5 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#43) | 4.01 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#51) | 6.29 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#85) | 0.612 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 40.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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