Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MOST -110 WKU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +13 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -2.1 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.1 (+15.1) | 149.2 (+11.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -1.3 (+14.3) | 148.6 (+12.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.6 (+15.6) | 147.2 (+13.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -2.1 (+15.1) | 149.0 (+12.0) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | WKU 87 – 72 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#210) | 2.3 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#241) | 0.35 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#224) | 0.36 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#242) | 0.530 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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