Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -135 MINN +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -7.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -5.4 (-3.4) | 130.2 (+3.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.3 (-1.3) | 130.5 (+3.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -4.4 (-2.4) | 130.1 (+3.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -3.7 (-1.7) | 128.5 (+5.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#70) | -0.4 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#37) | 0.65 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#36) | 1.01 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#32) | 0.523 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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