Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CSU +100 WASH -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -0.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -0.6 (-5.4) | 138.6 (+1.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -0.7 (-5.3) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.4 (-5.6) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -0.6 (-5.4) | 139.6 (+0.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | CSU 86 – 81 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-9 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#212) | -1.8 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#225) | 1.42 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#241) | 2.15 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#276) | 0.593 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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