And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Old Dominion Monarchs
87 – 80
FINAL Neutral Conference Sun Belt
UL Monroe Warhawks
Sun Belt Conference · Pensacola Bay Center (Neutral) · March 4, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Over
Money ODU -600 / ULM +440
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual ODU +7 167 Won
Massey ODU -11.2 (-4.2) — —
Massey Totals — 160.7 (+6.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ODU -10.3 (-3.3) 155.4 (+11.6) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ODU -8.6 (-1.6) 155.9 (+11.1) 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ODU -10.7 (-3.7) 153.8 (+13.2) 84% ✓
Baseline ML ODU -9.9 (-2.9) 153.2 (+13.8) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 ULM 85 – 79 ODU
Dec 21, 2024 ODU 80 – 75 ULM
Jan 21, 2024 ULM 80 – 73 ODU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ODU ULM
Overall 12-21 4-28
Conference 7-11 1-17
Home 7-6 3-10
Away 4-14 1-15
Neutral 1-1 0-3
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L8
Avg Pts For 75.7 71.7
Avg Pts Against 78.7 85.4
Massey -4.9 (#246) -16.1 (#352)
Bradley-Terry -0.94 (#254) -3.37 (#360)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.20 (#255) -4.16 (#360)
RPI 0.471 (#246) 0.371 (#359)
Shooting & Four Factors ODU ULM
FG% 43.9% 41.1%
3PT% 34.5% 32.2%
REB / G 34.4 31.8
OREB / G 9.4 9.4
AST / TO 1.15 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 47.8%
TOV% 15.5% 17.2%
ORB% 25.9% 25.3%
FT Rate 25.1% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 57.0%
Opp TOV% 14.7% 15.9%
DRB% 69.3% 64.3%
Opp FT Rate 30.1% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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