Betting Lines
| Spread | WGA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | WGA -185 UNF +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WGA +8 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | WGA -3.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WGA -2.7 (+5.3) | 157.6 (+20.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -3.4 (+4.6) | 153.9 (+24.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -3.7 (+4.3) | 152.6 (+25.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -3.4 (+4.6) | 153.6 (+24.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNF 81 – 73 WGA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WGA 85 – 73 UNF |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WGA 92 – 72 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 89.6 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#302) | -13.2 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#272) | -2.32 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#286) | -2.82 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#257) | 0.425 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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