Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -425 USD +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +2 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -8.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -7.8 (-5.8) | 138.4 (-24.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -7.0 (-5.0) | 140.6 (-26.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -7.9 (-5.9) | 136.6 (-22.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -8.2 (-6.2) | 136.2 (-22.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | SEA 75 – 64 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#116) | -4.5 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#109) | -0.81 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#102) | -0.90 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#140) | 0.442 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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