Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -118 SEA -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -0.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -0.7 (+3.7) | 129.2 (-10.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -0.5 (+3.5) | 129.1 (-10.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -0.6 (+3.6) | 129.4 (-10.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -0.7 (+3.7) | 128.9 (-9.9) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | PAC 56 – 54 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | 3.3 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#139) | 0.64 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#126) | 0.94 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#151) | 0.520 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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