Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -1350 MVSU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +25 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -15.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -12.3 (+12.7) | 132.9 (-3.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -12.0 (+13.0) | 130.9 (-1.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -13.4 (+11.6) | 130.2 (-1.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -11.8 (+13.2) | 129.8 (-0.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | GRAM 83 – 62 MVSU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GRAM 65 – 54 MVSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GRAM 54 – 46 MVSU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | GRAM 65 – 61 MVSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | GRAM 68 – 64 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 3-30 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 7-5 | 2-9 |
| Away | 4-13 | 1-18 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#307) | -25.2 (#365) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#302) | -3.81 (#365) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#305) | -5.56 (#365) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#307) | 0.346 (#365) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 38.4% |
Game Analysis
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