Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -600 WICH +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +37 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -8.0 (+29.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -6.1 (+30.9) | 148.9 (-9.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -9.5 (+27.5) | 152.3 (-13.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -6.5 (+30.5) | 151.6 (-12.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -5.1 (+31.9) | 146.0 (-7.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W12 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#22) | 6.7 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.30 (#4) | 2.96 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.63 (#4) | 4.08 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#25) | 0.660 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 40.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.