Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -180 MD +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -4.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -2.0 (-12.0) | 137.0 (-7.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.6 (-12.6) | 137.2 (-7.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -2.7 (-12.7) | 135.4 (-5.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.4 (-12.4) | 137.3 (-7.3) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ORE 64 – 54 MD |
| Jan 5, 2025 | ORE 83 – 79 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#91) | 1.9 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#99) | 0.63 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#95) | 0.87 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#156) | 0.501 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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