Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | FIU +102 MOST -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -1.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -1.4 (-4.4) | 149.0 (-2.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -0.8 (-3.8) | 147.7 (-0.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -1.2 (-4.2) | 146.5 (+0.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -1.2 (-4.2) | 147.3 (-0.3) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FIU 70 – 67 MOST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MOST 79 – 71 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#189) | -2.7 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#226) | -0.75 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#204) | -0.65 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#221) | 0.471 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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