Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -130 SIE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +10 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -0.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -0.2 (-9.8) | 129.3 (-11.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -0.8 (-10.8) | 129.1 (-11.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -0.5 (-10.5) | 129.6 (-11.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -0.6 (-10.6) | 130.5 (-12.5) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MRMK 79 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MRMK 63 – 59 SIE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRMK 64 – 58 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#183) | -2.0 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#123) | -0.12 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#133) | -0.28 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#74) | 0.510 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 60.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.