Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -125 OKST +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +9 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -0.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -1.3 (-10.3) | 163.3 (+11.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -0.2 (-8.8) | 161.1 (+13.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -0.1 (-8.9) | 161.2 (+13.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -1.5 (-10.5) | 161.1 (+13.9) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLO 83 – 69 OKST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OKST 83 – 73 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-5 | 15-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#72) | 8.8 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#63) | 1.99 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#58) | 2.54 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#82) | 0.551 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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