Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -215 PITT +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +1 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -5.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -4.4 (-5.4) | 141.4 (+39.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -4.6 (-5.6) | 143.5 (+37.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -5.9 (-6.9) | 146.5 (+34.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -6.5 (-7.5) | 148.1 (+32.9) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | PITT 67 – 66 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 19.4 (#9) | 19.8 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#58) | 3.34 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#67) | 5.81 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#65) | 0.721 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 43.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.4% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.3% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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