Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | EIU -160 NIU +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -6.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -4.0 (+9.0) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -3.9 (+9.1) | 140.0 (-9.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -4.8 (+8.2) | 140.3 (-9.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -4.6 (+8.4) | 141.1 (-10.1) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | NIU 90 – 70 EIU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | NIU 55 – 45 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 2-16 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-12 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W4 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#330) | -10.7 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#305) | -1.94 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#310) | -2.92 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#242) | 0.397 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 61.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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