Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +400 BC -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -14.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -2.7 (-6.7) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -3.2 (-7.2) | 142.8 (+3.2) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | BC 76 – 47 CIT |
| Nov 5, 2024 | BC 69 – 60 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#141) | 1.7 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#240) | 0.33 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#205) | 0.48 (#117) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.5% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 47.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.2% | 11.8% |
Game Analysis
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