Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +115 SCU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -5.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -3.0 (+10.0) | 138.3 (+6.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -2.5 (+9.5) | 140.9 (+4.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -2.4 (+9.4) | 141.8 (+3.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -1.9 (+8.9) | 139.1 (+5.9) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#178) | 4.8 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#68) | 0.19 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#79) | 0.27 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#45) | 0.573 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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