Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -200 LR +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +15 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -20.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -7.1 (+7.9) | 134.7 (+22.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -7.2 (+7.8) | 140.6 (+16.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | UIC 77 – 69 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#129) | -3.4 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#243) | 0.38 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#203) | 0.46 (#129) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 12.5% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.47 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 17.1% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 6.7% | 37.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 30.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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