Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | SC +210 VT -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | VT -1.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -1.2 (+3.2) | 145.9 (+10.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -0.5 (+2.5) | 141.7 (+14.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | VT 86 – 83 SC |
| Nov 27, 2024 | SC 70 – 60 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#64) | 6.1 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#108) | 0.07 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#74) | 0.06 (#151) |
| RPI | — | 0.250 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 54.5% | 41.9% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 2.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.6% | 62.1% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 43.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 37.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.7% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 85.4% | 87.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.5% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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