Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -130 RICE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -2.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -1.5 (+6.5) | 135.6 (-4.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -1.7 (+6.7) | 133.8 (-2.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -1.8 (+6.8) | 132.8 (-1.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -1.7 (+6.7) | 135.0 (-4.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#183) | 1.7 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#59) | 0.69 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#69) | 0.83 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#61) | 0.474 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 39.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.