Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -6000 UNCO +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +25 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -12.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -12.7 (+12.3) | 153.7 (-0.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -11.3 (+13.7) | 155.4 (-2.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -10.3 (+14.7) | 155.8 (-2.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -11.6 (+13.4) | 157.7 (-4.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | TTU 101 – 90 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#34) | 5.8 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#143) | 1.61 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#118) | 2.88 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#79) | 0.600 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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