Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -34.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +22 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -29.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -24.1 (-2.1) | 142.5 (+15.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -26.3 (-4.3) | 141.7 (+16.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -30.0 (-8.0) | 141.9 (+16.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -29.0 (-7.0) | 141.7 (+16.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | TEX 86 – 59 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#45) | -13.2 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#91) | -1.96 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#109) | -2.94 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#111) | 0.408 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 18.4% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 57.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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