Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LT -1800 SOU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -16.4 (-19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -13.8 (-16.8) | 146.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -15.3 (-18.3) | 144.8 (-1.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -15.7 (-18.7) | 144.4 (-1.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -15.0 (-18.0) | 147.0 (-4.0) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | LT 74 – 59 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#65) | -2.7 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#26) | -2.17 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.38 (#23) | -3.09 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#68) | 0.356 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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