Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | NEB -355 ORST +278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +21 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -7.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -4.8 (+16.2) | 137.7 (+9.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -7.2 (+13.8) | 142.5 (+4.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -6.1 (+14.9) | 139.9 (+7.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -4.1 (+16.9) | 136.7 (+10.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 26, 2024 | NEB 78 – 66 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-15 |
| Home | 18-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#78) | -2.3 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#77) | 0.78 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#88) | 0.89 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#189) | 0.406 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 47.8 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.7% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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