Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Ohio State Buckeyes
73 – 56
FINAL Emerald Coast Classic
Western Michigan Broncos
Schottenstein Center · November 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -22.0 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money OSU -4500 / WMU +1550
Model Predictions
Spread Total OSU win
Actual OSU +17 129 Won
Massey OSU -17.2 (-0.2) — —
Massey Totals — 147.1 (-18.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OSU -15.7 (+1.3) 139.0 (-10.0) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -12.2 (+4.8) 142.0 (-13.0) 85% ✓
Baseline ML OSU -13.8 (+3.2) 140.8 (-11.8) 77% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OSU -14.0 (+3.0) 136.9 (-7.9) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 21, 2025 OSU 91 – 58 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OSU WMU
Overall 22-14 12-20
Conference 9-11 9-9
Home 15-5 7-7
Away 2-8 3-12
Neutral 5-1 2-1
Last 5 2-1 0-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.5 69.5
Avg Pts Against 70.2 75.0
Massey 3.8 (#106) -5.0 (#270)
Bradley-Terry 0.96 (#102) -3.35 (#359)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.53 (#53) -4.75 (#353)
RPI 0.602 (#78) 0.338 (#318)
Shooting & Four Factors OSU WMU
FG% 44.2% 42.1%
3PT% 33.3% 37.5%
REB / G 39.7 39.7
OREB / G 13.7 15.3
AST / TO 1.26 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 50.0%
TOV% 17.2% 24.0%
ORB% 37.3% 41.1%
FT Rate 29.1% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 19.2%
DRB% 71.6% 61.9%
Opp FT Rate 17.2% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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