Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -275 ILST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +9 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -12.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-38.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -6.7 (-15.7) | 147.4 (-34.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -8.0 (-17.0) | 144.2 (-31.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -6.7 (-15.7) | 146.3 (-33.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -6.5 (-15.5) | 147.3 (-34.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2025 | ILST 82 – 80 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#41) | -3.9 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#48) | -0.12 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#32) | -0.17 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#82) | 0.471 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 37.6% |
Game Analysis
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