Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -1400 LEM +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +10 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -24.0 (-34.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -15.5 (-25.5) | 148.8 (+1.2) | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -12.8 (-22.8) | 148.3 (+1.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -16.5 (-26.5) | 150.0 (-0.0) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -17.1 (-27.1) | 150.5 (-0.5) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2024 | CSUN 97 – 75 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#112) | -12.8 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#104) | -2.37 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#126) | -3.72 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#224) | 0.327 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 12.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 64.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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