Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -10000 SCST +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +23 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -20.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -17.7 (+5.3) | 147.8 (-6.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -14.3 (+8.7) | 149.1 (-8.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -15.2 (+7.8) | 149.3 (-8.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -16.2 (+6.8) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | MIZ 98 – 66 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 9-5 |
| Home | 6-11 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L19 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#187) | -13.8 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#173) | -1.33 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#124) | -2.73 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#147) | 0.426 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 22.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 46.0% |
Game Analysis
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