Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -420 EVAN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -0.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -3.0 (-11.0) | 133.9 (+28.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -4.7 (-12.7) | 136.6 (+25.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -3.2 (-11.2) | 134.9 (+27.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -2.6 (-10.6) | 133.1 (+28.9) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2024 | UTC 75 – 67 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#172) | 6.4 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#47) | 1.85 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#54) | 2.56 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#97) | 0.693 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 26.4% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 80.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 13.5% |
Game Analysis
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