Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -165 USM +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USM +6 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -7.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -4.3 (-10.3) | 141.4 (+32.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -1.9 (-7.9) | 142.4 (+31.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -5.7 (-11.7) | 140.6 (+33.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -5.5 (-11.5) | 143.0 (+31.0) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | USM 66 – 65 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#315) | -9.0 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#251) | -3.69 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#288) | -5.78 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#229) | 0.224 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | USM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 57.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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