Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -1200 CAL +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -18.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -12.5 (-3.5) | 153.3 (-10.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -15.3 (-6.3) | 151.7 (-8.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -13.9 (-4.9) | 151.9 (-8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -13.2 (-4.2) | 151.8 (-8.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | SDSU 71 – 50 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#21) | -5.0 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#41) | -2.04 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.64 (#36) | -2.74 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.661 (#23) | 0.410 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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